ATHENS, GA. – For years, e-cigarettes have been marketed as a “cleaner” alternative to traditional smoking. However, a major new study from the University of Georgia (UGA) suggests that vaping may carry a hidden metabolic price: a significantly increased risk of developing prediabetes.

The research, led by health economist Sulakshan Neupane and published in the journal AJPM Focus, analyzed over 1.2 million data points from the CDC’s Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System. The findings provide a sobering look at how nicotine—regardless of how it is delivered—interacts with the body’s ability to manage blood sugar.
While the link between traditional combustible cigarettes and Type 2 diabetes is well-documented, the impact of aerosolized nicotine has been less clear. The UGA study quantified these risks with striking precision:


- Vaping Only: Users were 7% more likely to have prediabetes than non-users.
- Traditional Smoking Only: These users faced a 15% higher risk.
- “Dual Users” (Vaping + Smoking): Those who use both products faced the highest danger, with a 28% increased risk of prediabetes.
“In an era when e-cigarettes are marketed as a ‘safer’ alternative, this suggests they may carry a hidden peril,” said Neupane. “This is not just about the lungs anymore; it’s about the entire body’s metabolic health.”
Why Does Vaping Affect Blood Sugar?
The connection lies in how nicotine interacts with the human endocrine system. When nicotine enters the bloodstream, it triggers a “fight-or-flight” response, releasing stress hormones like adrenaline and cortisol. These hormones signal the liver to release stored glucose into the blood for a quick energy boost.
Over time, frequent vaping can lead to:
- Insulin Resistance: Constant spikes in blood sugar make cells less responsive to insulin, the hormone responsible for clearing sugar from the blood.
- Pancreatic Strain: The pancreas must work overtime to produce more insulin to compensate for the resistance, eventually leading to exhaustion of the insulin-producing cells.
- Inflammation: Chemicals in vape aerosols can cause systemic inflammation, further disrupting metabolic signaling.
Vulnerable Populations and the “Exercise Shield”
The study highlighted that the risk isn’t uniform across the population. Researchers found that financial stress and socioeconomic status played a major role. Individuals in lower-income categories were 12% more likely to develop these conditions, often because chronic stress compounds the metabolic damage caused by nicotine.
Additionally, demographic data showed that Hispanic, Black, and Asian individuals who vaped or smoked were more likely to be diagnosed with prediabetes than White individuals, suggesting that genetic or environmental factors may exacerbate the risk.
However, the news wasn’t all grim. The data revealed a powerful mitigating factor: regular exercise. Smokers and vapers who maintained a consistent physical activity routine saw their prediabetes risk drop by approximately 8%. Exercise helps by naturally increasing insulin sensitivity, allowing the body to process blood sugar more efficiently despite the presence of nicotine.
Prediabetes is often a “silent” condition, but it serves as a critical warning. While it is reversible through lifestyle changes, it is often a precursor to heart disease, kidney damage, and Type 2 diabetes.
For those using e-cigarettes to quit smoking, this research suggests that “switching” may only be a partial solution. To fully protect metabolic health, the ultimate goal should be total nicotine cessation.


